The American East Playoffs rage on tonight as the No. 1 Vermont Catamounts take on the No. 5 Binghamton Bearcats in the semifinals. Vermont has 13 consecutive wins over the Bearcats, covering the spread in nine of the last 10 matchups as well.
It’s no shock, then, that the Catamounts are massive favorites and expected to win a bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Despite Vermont’s dominance in this series, Binghamton did cover the spread just a couple of weeks ago in an 11-point loss. Can the Bearcats stay within the number once again or will the Catamounts cruise to a cover?
Let’s check out the odds before jumping into my best bet.
Binghamton vs. Vermont Odds, Spread, and Total
Binghamton is 5-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last eight games, but the Bearcats are woefully overmatched against a Vermont team that could make some noise in the NCAA Tournament. Simply put, the Catamounts should control every part of this game and I’m backing them to cover.
Vermont ranks 23rd nationally in effective field goal percentage (54.7%), ninth in turnover rate (14.6%), and seventh in defensive rebounding percentage (79.3%). That means they’re a disciplined team that doesn’t make many mistakes opponents can capitalize on.
It’s a lot easier to beat teams if you force turnovers and get offensive rebounds. The Catamounts don’t let you do either of those things, so it’s no wonder they’re 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 contests.
Another path to an upset would be making a lot of free throws and three-pointers. Unfortunately for the Bearcats, they’re 272nd in free throw rate (28.4%) and 294th in three-point shooting percentage (31.9%).
There’s no real avenue to competitiveness for Binghamton. The margins of victory in Vermont’s last six victories over the Bearcats were 11, 25, 32, 17, 31, and 40. Trust the sample size of dominance and back the Catamounts.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.