Manchester City vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, line: Expert 2022-23 EFL Cup picks, best bets for Dec. 22


The latest battle between Premier League heavyweights Manchester City and Liverpool comes Thursday in the fourth round of the 2022-23 English League Cup. City are the reigning English Premier League champions, and Liverpool were runners-up. The Reds also won the EFL Cup, beating Chelsea on penalty kicks in February’s final. The Citizens went out in the fourth round last year with a loss to West Ham on penalties, but they beat Chelsea to advance this year. Liverpool needed spot kicks to get past Derby County in the third round last month. City are second in the EPL table, five points behind Arsenal, while Liverpool are sixth, 15 points behind the leaders. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET on Thursday in Manchester, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Manchester City as -145 favorites (risk $145 to win $100) in its latest Manchester City vs. Liverpool odds. Liverpool are +350 underdogs, a draw is priced at +280 and the over/under for total match goals is 3.5. Before locking in any Liverpool vs. Manchester City picks or EFL Cup bets, make sure you check out the English League Cup predictions and best bets from proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. 

Green crushed his World Cup picks on the Early Edge, backing the USMNT to advance (+100), Kylian Mbappe to win the Golden Boot (+900) and Netherlands, England and Argentina all to win their groups (+210) among his correct picks.

Now, Green has broken down the Manchester City vs. Liverpool matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and EFL Cup predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Liverpool vs. Manchester City:

  • Man City vs. Liverpool spread: Man City -0.5 (-140)
  • Man City vs. Liverpool over/under: 3.5 goals 
  • Man City vs. Liverpool money line: Man City -145, Liverpool +350, Draw +280
  • MC: They have outscored opponents 17-6 in their past 10 in all competitions 
  • LVP: They have a 20-6 goal advantage over their past 10 competitive matches 
  • Man City vs. Liverpool picks: See picks here

Why You Should Back Manchester City

Premier League leading scorer Erling Haaland missed out on the World Cup, as his native Norway failed to qualify, so he will be eager for real competition. He has 18 goals in 14 matches, six more than any other player. He has 23 goals in all competitions. He should have some room to work Thursday, with the likes of Virgil Van Djik and Ibrahima Konate expected to be missing from the Liverpool back line. Kevin De Bruyne should take his customary spot as the engine of the Manchester City attack, and the Belgian is the Premier League leader in assists with nine.

City are 11-0-2 at home in all competitive matches this season, while Liverpool are 3-2-4 away from home. The Citizens will be looking to rebound from a 2-1 home loss to Brentford in their last match before the break. Both teams will be missing some players, but City have players like midfielder Ilkay Gundogan, forward Riyad Mahrez and youngsters Rico Lewis and Carlos Borges to fill in. Borges, 18, has four goals and five assists in 10 games with City’s U21 team, and Mahrez has four goals, several off the bench, after scoring 31 over the past three seasons.    

Why You Should Back Liverpool 

The Reds are unbeaten in their past five meetings with City, winning the past three. In addition to the 1-0 EPL victory in October, Liverpool took a 3-2 FA Cup victory in April and a 3-1 Community Shield win just before the EPL season. The Reds are on a four-game unbeaten run, with a 0-0 draw with Derby City the only blemish. They outscored the other three opponents 7-2. Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino should both be available, and Salah has 14 goals and five assists in 21 matches in all competitions, and Firmino has scored nine goals and set up four.

Liverpool still fires a ton of shots, with four fewer than City’s league-leading total of 244 and leading the EPL with 87 on target. Salah is tied for third in the league with 50 shots, and he and Firmino are part of a three-way tie for third with 20 on net. The Reds will be a little thin in the back, but Joel Matip is expected to be available in the middle. Goalkeeper Alisson, key fullback Trent Alexander-Arnold and midfielder Jordan Henderson all worked out this week and could play some role. City are missing far more players overall from their first-choice 11 and reserves.      

How to make EFL Cup and Man City vs. Liverpool  picks

Green has scrutinized the Man City vs. Liverpool EFL Cup match from every angle. He is leaning Over the goal total and also provides his three confident best bets. They include one that would pay at more than 2-1. He’s only sharing his EFL Cup picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So, who wins Liverpool vs. Manchester City in Thursday’s League Cup match? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Man City vs. Liverpool  match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.